Pattern of early human-to-human transmission of Wuhan 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), December 2019 to January 2020
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BORIS DOI
Date of Publication
January 30, 2020
Publication Type
Article
Division/Institute
Series
Eurosurveillance
ISSN or ISBN (if monograph)
1560-7917
Publisher
European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control
Language
English
Publisher DOI
PubMed ID
32019669
Description
Since December 2019, China has been experiencing a large outbreak of a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) which can cause respiratory disease and severe pneumonia. We estimated the basic reproduction number R0 of 2019-nCoV to be around 2.2 (90% high density interval: 1.4–3.8), indicating the potential for sustained human-to-human transmission. Transmission characteristics appear to be of similar magnitude to severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus (SARS-CoV) and pandemic influenza, indicating a risk of global spread.
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