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  3. The Future Failed: No Evidence for Precognition in a Large Scale Replication Attempt of Bem (2011)
 

The Future Failed: No Evidence for Precognition in a Large Scale Replication Attempt of Bem (2011)

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BORIS DOI
10.48350/173655
Publisher DOI
10.1037/cns0000342
Description
Precognition describes the ability to anticipate information about a future event before
this event occurs. The goal of our study was to test the occurrence of precognition by
trying to replicate three experiments of the most central study in the field (Bem, 2011,
Journal of Personality and Social Psychology). In this study, Bem time-reversed wellestablished psychological effects so that a “causal” stimulus appeared after the participants gave their response. We conducted two priming experiments and a free recall
experiment in the backward “precognition” version and, as a control manipulation, in the
classic forward version. More than 2000 participants participated via the Internet; thus,
our study had high statistical power. The results showed no precognition effects at all. We
further conducted exploratory post hoc analyses on different variables and questionnaire
items and found some significant effects. Further studies should validate these potentially
interesting findings by using theory-driven hypotheses, preregistrations, and confirmatory data analyses.
Date of Publication
2022-09-29
Publication Type
Article
Subject(s)
100 Philosophy > 150 Psychology
000 Computer science, knowledge & systems
Language(s)
en
Contributor(s)
Muhmenthaler, Michèle Christineorcid-logo
Institut für Psychologie, Abt. Kognitive Psychologie, Wahrnehmung und Methodenlehre
Dubravac, Mirelaorcid-logo
Institut für Psychologie
Meier, Beatorcid-logo
Institut für Psychologie, Abt. Kognitive Psychologie, Wahrnehmung und Methodenlehre
Additional Credits
Institut für Psychologie, Abt. Kognitive Psychologie, Wahrnehmung und Methodenlehre
Institut für Psychologie
Series
Psychology of consciousness : Theory, Research, and Practice
Publisher
American Psychological Association
ISSN
2326-5523
Access(Rights)
restricted
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